In the NFC, it was a surprise that Carolina’s chances did not decline after its big defeat in Pittsburgh. But if Green Bay has another late-season run, Carolina’s wild-card spot could be in danger. The matchup on Sunday between Chicago and Minnesota will give good guidance on who has edge in the NFC North and who needs to fight for a wild card.

AccuScore has used data from the first 10 weeks of the 2018 season and simulated every remaining game. Updated playoff chances are below.

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NFL playoff chances 2018

NFL playoff odds

Biggest improvements in playoff chances:

Biggest drops in playoff chances:

AccuScore’s NFL playoff probabilities will be updated on a weekly basis.